India-Pakistan Conflict: The Risk of Nuclear War

India-Pakistan Conflict: The Risk of Nuclear War


India-Pakistan Conflict: The Risk of Nuclear War

India and Pakistan have a long history of hatred towards one another, but now that they both have nuclear capabilities, any small squirmish could erupt into a nuclear war. Check out today’s epic new video that analyzes the tenuous relationship of these neighboring countries and the real risk a conflict between the two would have of causing an all-out nuclear war for the rest of the world.

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Content

0.72 -> Pakistan indirectly threatens India with its  so-called “Islamic bomb.” India returns indirect  
6.36 -> fire, saying it can “meet the challenge” and  is ready for a “swift and massive retaliation.”  
10.62 -> Pakistan says, do your worst; we’ll exercise  our full capabilities, and India replies with  
16.14 -> similar vague threats. The US President watching  from a distance, says, “I cannot believe” this is  
21.36 -> happening. He shouldn’t be so surprised. His  country helped make this situation possible. 
25.44 -> Today we’ll discuss the foundations  of this hothouse of hatred and figure  
29.7 -> out if the unwavering bad vibes will be  taken to their utterly disastrous end.
33.84 -> On February 20, 1947, British Prime Minister  Clarence Attlee announced that British  
38.94 -> India would soon have full independence  after almost 100 years of British rule.
43.44 -> A month later, he gave a speech at the House  of Commons, talking about a pervasive sense of  
48.06 -> a “national idea” in India, and he praised  India for its “wonderful service” in World  
52.62 -> War II. He said he didn’t want to stress the  difficulties in India regarding what he called  
56.58 -> the “different divisions,” which he acknowledged  shouldn’t undermine this national idea.  
61.08 -> He was perhaps a bit too optimistic. The 400 million people in India,  
65.88 -> he went on, should decide their own destiny.  He was right about that. Importantly, he said: 
70.26 -> “I am well aware, when I speak of India, that  I speak of a country containing a congeries  
74.82 -> of races, religions, and languages, and  I know well all the difficulties thereby  
79.02 -> created. But those difficulties can only be  overcome by Indians. We are very mindful of  
84.66 -> the rights of minorities, and minorities  should be able to live free from fear.” 
88.32 -> He was right again but was Britain about  to pull out too fast and leave a mess on  
93.3 -> the giant multicolored patchwork of  contrasting fabric that was India? 
96.84 -> On June 3rd of that year, the Mountbatten Plan was  announced, which stated there would be a partition  
102.36 -> of India. This would consist of the Dominion of  India and the Dominion of Pakistan – Pakistan  
107.82 -> with a Muslim majority and India with a Hindu  majority. Simple. Job done. Goodbye, namaste,  
113.46 -> Assalam u Alaikum, as well as the other ways to  say goodbye in the hundreds of languages in India. 
118.26 -> But there were also the so-called Princely  States, which in the time of the British Raj were  
123.42 -> not directly ruled by the British but by Indian  rulers. These states, said the Mountbatten Plan,  
128.58 -> should be able to decide which part of the  partition they wanted to be with. Hmm, thought the  
133.44 -> British, ok, that’s maybe not so simple, but never  mind, cheerio guys, the pleasure has been ours.
138.24 -> At the stroke of midnight on August  14, Pakistan officially came into  
142.14 -> existence as a self-governing entity, and  at midnight the next day, India did, too.
146.88 -> We’re going to simplify things a bit here for the  sake of time, so let’s just say splitting India  
152.88 -> was very problematic. There were power struggles  after the British pulled out. It had been done  
157.32 -> too hastily. People were stuck on the wrong side.  Families, communities, and farms were split apart. 
162.3 -> This was in a country that had already been  on the brink of chaos before the war. The  
166.44 -> Great Depression had ravaged India, with large  swathes of the population unemployed and literally  
171.3 -> starving. In Bengal, there was a famine in 1943  in which 800,000 to 3.8 million Bengalis died.  
178.68 -> The British tried to pass it off as an unavoidable  natural disaster. In actuality, various wartime  
184.2 -> policies created a human-made disaster for  which the Brits could take a lot of the blame. 
188.7 -> So, tensions were already fraught before  the partition, never mind after. There were,  
193.32 -> of course, ethnic tensions. There was a migration  of around ten million people trying desperately  
197.7 -> to get where they wanted. Fighting erupted  everywhere. Communities engaged in mass  
202.02 -> killings. No one knows the exact death toll,  but it’s estimated that at least several hundred  
206.4 -> thousand people died in the conflicts, but it may  have been as many as two million. In what’s called  
212.28 -> the Amritsar train massacre, 3,000 Muslim refugees  were killed by Punjabi Hindus and Sikhs, and of  
218.58 -> course, there were deadly reprisals. That’s just  one example. In 1947, about 100,000 women were  
225.06 -> kidnapped and suffered horrendous fates. Another  example of the utter turmoil in India at the time. 
229.56 -> We’re not going to get into all of it,  but trust us, the violence was next-level,  
233.94 -> fostering a bitter resentment that would last a  very, very long time. What’s important is both  
239.28 -> India and Pakistan both claimed ownership of the  Kashmir region. That spelled trouble, big trouble. 
245.16 -> It didn’t help matters that Mahatma Gandhi  was assassinated on January 30, 1948.
250.38 -> A 38-year-old Hindu fanatic named Nathuram  Godse shot Gandhi at a multi-faith prayer  
256.2 -> meeting in Delhi. Gandhi’s take on India was  not exactly in line with the thoughts of a  
260.82 -> right-wing Hindu paramilitary group.  His death only served to strengthen  
264.72 -> secularism within the Indian government. At this point, Pakistan and India were  
269.16 -> already fighting in the Indo-Pakistani War  of 1947. This began with an invasion of  
273.96 -> Kashmir by armed tribesmen from Pakistan.  Kashmir asked India for military support,  
278.46 -> in exchange, it would accede to  Indian rule. On January 1, 1949,  
283.08 -> with UN mediation involved, a ceasefire  line was drawn, which became known as the  
287.94 -> Line of Control. This designated Indian and  Pakistani-administered portions of Kashmir.
293.4 -> In 1965, there was a second Indo-Pakistani  war when under Operation Gibraltar, Pakistani  
299.34 -> soldiers went over to the Indian side of Kashmir  with the intention of starting an insurgency.
303.66 -> In 1966, both sides agreed to peace  again. This would become a familiar story. 
309.18 -> All this time, more trouble had been brewing  in Pakistan. There was East and West Pakistan,  
314.46 -> with the East having a majority Bengali  population. Punjabis mostly dominated  
318.84 -> the West. The two sides didn’t often agree on  most matters. In short, the East side didn’t  
323.4 -> feel it was represented enough in politics.  Bengalis felt oppressed, and this and many  
327.9 -> other reasons led to a bloody civil war. The Pakistani Armed Forces, along with  
332.34 -> pro-Pakistani Islamist militias, massacred  between 300,000 and 3,000,000 people and did  
337.98 -> heinous things to 200,000 and 400,000 women.  Bangladesh says three million were killed in  
343.56 -> this genocide, and as many as 30 million  people were displaced. Pakistan generally  
347.82 -> gives much lower figures, but there was no  doubt some high-level brutality going on.
352.74 -> India was behind the East and joined in,  in what would be called the Indo-Pakistani  
357.72 -> War of 1971. It was the East with its Indian  forces that won, which ensured that Bangladesh  
364.02 -> was formed as an independent country. We are  not going into details here and are leaving  
369 -> lots of things out, but rest assured,  India and Pakistan were having issues. 
373.2 -> To point out that India and Pakistan have their  differences would be a massive understatement.  
377.58 -> It’s like saying God and the Devil have  history. The conflicts haven’t stopped,  
381.54 -> of course. In fact, the fires of division  have raged time and again, but before we  
385.62 -> get into current flare-ups of violence, we  need to talk about another important matter. 
389.4 -> On July 16, 1945, the Americans conducted the  first nuclear bomb test in history. Codenamed  
396.18 -> Trinity, the detonation happened at a site  about 210 miles south of Los Alamos, New Mexico.
401.22 -> President Harry Truman wasn’t there,  but he picked up a telegraph that read,  
405.3 -> “Babies satisfactorily born.” The next day,  the Potsdam Conference began in Germany,  
410.22 -> in which Truman, Winston Churchill, and the Soviet  leader, Joseph Stalin, discussed postwar peace.
415.26 -> Truman’s interpreter, Charles Bohlen, saw  Truman walk up to Stalin. Bohlen later said  
420.42 -> Truman “strolled over nonchalantly” and  whispered in Stalin’s ear that the US had  
424.8 -> a “new weapon of unusual destructive force.”  Stalin’s world quietly fell apart right then.  
430.92 -> He hadn’t expected the US to get that done so  fast. The Soviet Union had a lot of work to do,  
435.9 -> but other countries would also start playing  catch up in the nuke stakes, including India,  
440.34 -> which, as you know, would soon be embroiled  in years of conflict with its enemy, Pakistan. 
444.9 -> In regard to this show, it’s ironic that the  so-called father of the atomic bomb, Robert  
450.18 -> Oppenheimer, used a phrase from an ancient Hindu  text when he first saw the bomb explode. That was,  
455.88 -> “Now I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds.” On August 29, 1949, the Soviets saw their own  
461.88 -> destroyer of worlds explode at a test site in  Kazakhstan. That hadn’t taken long, but hey,  
466.32 -> spies did their fair share in helping the Soviets.  The Brits followed in 1952 and the French in  
471.48 -> 1960, and then came China. But who would be next? The answer is India, in 1974, under its secret  
478.32 -> Smiling Buddha project that came to fruition  on May 18 in the Pokhran region of Rajasthan.
483.66 -> The US was not happy at all. It wasn’t supposed  to be this way. When the test took place,  
488.58 -> and an explosion equivalent to 8-12 Kilotons  churned up the earth of north-west India,  
493.62 -> it apparently came as a bit of a shock to the US.  Under the 1968 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty,  
499.5 -> it was agreed there’d be nuclear  haves and nuclear have-nots,  
502.68 -> but India didn’t really see this as valid. It  wanted to be one of the haves, and it wasn’t  
506.88 -> concerned about what the US thought about that. The US then stopped sending uranium fuel to India.  
512.1 -> India called its test “peaceful,” but the US  said it didn’t really see the difference between  
516.48 -> “peaceful” and “military” nuclear devices. The reason the launch became possible was in  
521.52 -> part because of the US. In the early 1960s,  it developed the Atoms for Peace project,  
526.56 -> which consisted of helping nations around the  world to make their own nuclear power. This  
531.18 -> not only meant sharing materials but also sending  scientists to other nations. The whole thing was  
535.56 -> on the condition that these countries didn’t go  ahead and start trying to make nuclear weapons.  
539.88 -> It turned out that this was like giving a  child some candy and telling them they need  
543.84 -> to wait until after dinner to eat it. Of course, there was always a concern,  
547.74 -> but in the case of India, the US media  reported that India’s Prime Minister  
551.34 -> Lal Bahadur Shastri had no plans to make an  “A-Bomb.” Let’s just say that things changed.
557.52 -> The US had said it would keep sending India  nuclear fuel for 30 years, which, as you know,  
562.2 -> didn’t happen after it conducted its nuclear  test. Cutting India off from nuclear fuel was  
567.06 -> a big deal. The New York Times wrote that the US  was cutting off “a supply of atomic fuel that is  
571.74 -> becoming critical for the Indian economy.” The  Canadian Government also stopped sending nuclear  
576.48 -> fuel, saying with all the poverty in India, it  wasn’t right that the country had “devoted tens or  
580.8 -> hundreds of millions of dollars to the creation  of a nuclear device for a nuclear explosion.” 
585.12 -> At that point, India’s Prime Minister was  Indira Gandhi. She’d already made friends  
590.16 -> with the Soviet Union, and India  had received arms because of that.
593.58 -> She said something along the lines of “bugger  that,” I am not signing any nuclear treaty. She  
598.44 -> was also worried that the US had too much control  over India, kind of forcing her country to adopt  
603.18 -> its policies by bargaining with food aid. She  also didn’t like President Richard Nixon, who’d  
607.86 -> supported Pakistan in the Bangladeshi liberation  war when she was running India. This is important.
613.56 -> The feeling was mutual between Gandhi and  Nixon. Declassified documents show just how  
618.78 -> much Nixon hated her. In a conversation between  him and Henry Kissinger, he calls her a “bitch.”
624.3 -> Kissinger replies, “Well, the Indians are  bastards anyway. They are starting a war  
628.56 -> there.” He was referring to a war with Pakistan,  of course. Nixon then calls Gandhi an “old witch.” 
633.54 -> In a separate conversation, but still in 1971,  Nixon talked to Secretary of State William Rogers.
639.12 -> He tells Rogers, “They want Pakistan  to disintegrate. Despite what she says,  
643.8 -> that’s what she wants, there’s no question about  that… I think that our policy, wherever we can,  
648.3 -> should definitely be tilted toward Pakistan and  not toward India. I think India is more at fault.” 
653.16 -> This is all very important in regard to our show  today because it explains what happened next. 
658.02 -> As you can imagine, when Pakistan heard about  India’s so-called “peaceful” nuclear test,  
662.58 -> it had an entirely different interpretation  of what the word “peaceful” meant. Pakistani  
667.5 -> president, Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, got his officials  together and said something along the lines of,  
671.82 -> “You get your top bloody scientists together,  and you make a bloody bomb ASA-bloody-P.”
675.96 -> Pakistan was incredibly poor. Many people didn’t  have food on their plates some days. Still, Bhutto  
681.72 -> had earlier said, “If India builds the bomb, we  will eat grass or leaves - even go hungry-but we  
686.76 -> will get one of our own.” He said in no uncertain  terms that to even things up, the world needed  
691.44 -> an “Islamic Bomb.” Even though Pakistan was  friendly with the US, handing out nuclear arms  
696.12 -> technology was not in the US’ bag of tricks. But Bhutto had tricks up his own sleeves.  
700.98 -> Pakistan was also part of the Atoms for Peace  project, and there were plenty of top Western  
705.42 -> scientists working in the country. What the US  did was just turn a blind eye to what Pakistan  
710.58 -> was doing with its scientists and nuclear fuel. At the same time, the Central Intelligence Agency  
715.32 -> was secretly helping Pakistan because Pakistan  was secretly sending billions of dollars worth  
720.24 -> of US arms to Afghan guerrillas who were fighting  the Soviets. In the decades to come, the US would  
726.12 -> become not only an enemy of Pakistan but also  those Afghan guerrillas - the mujahideen. These  
731.82 -> people, who’d partly later turn into Al-Queda,  were not just armed but also trained and funded  
736.62 -> by the US. Geopolitics is a topsy-turvy world.  Pakistan would later not just become the enemy,  
742.38 -> but partly thanks to the US, but much more  China, it was able to make its own atomic bomb. 
747.12 -> A former CIA agent later admitted, “We have  helped create the conditions that exist today  
752.22 -> for the big bomb.” He was talking about  Pakistan. India was less than pleased and  
756.66 -> viewed the US as partly at fault for creating  this huge threat to its national security. 
760.98 -> The New York Times wrote many years later: “It required more than three decades, a global  
766.02 -> network of theft and espionage, and uncounted  millions for Pakistan, one of the world's poorest  
770.94 -> countries, to explode that bomb. But it could not  have happened without smuggled Chinese technology  
775.92 -> and contradictory shifts in American policy.” China provided the blueprints and the fuel,  
780.9 -> and the US provided a ton of money in aid and,  indirectly, some nuclear technology and materials.  
786.18 -> This multi-billion military aid program was later  switched off when the US no longer needed Pakistan  
792.78 -> to send those weapons over to Afghanistan. Still,  by then, the damage had been done. It didn’t  
797.52 -> help matters that when the US withdrew its help,  Pakistan felt defenseless. It needed that nuclear  
802.98 -> bomb more than ever, so it speeded up the process. Then in May 1998, India conducted a bunch of  
808.98 -> nuclear weapon tests despite the international  community condemning it and threatening sanctions.  
813.48 -> The New York Times wrote, “President Clinton  announced wide-ranging American sanctions,  
817.62 -> including an end to most American aid  to India and a pledge to use the U.S.  
821.7 -> vote to deny India loans and other help from the  International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.” 
826.62 -> The Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee  said, ok, we will deal with that when it happens.  
832.08 -> He told the media, “If the path ahead is a  difficult one, we will not shy away from it.”
836.46 -> Something close to 90% of Indians said in a  poll that they agreed with the tests. After  
841.32 -> all, why shouldn’t India do what other  nations were doing? Vajpayee said sure,  
845.82 -> he’d eliminate India’s arsenal just as soon as  the other nuclear powers did the same – the US,  
850.44 -> Russia, Britain, China, and France. He was wrong  about that list. There was another country on it. 
855.48 -> India’s tests took place on May 12. Then  on May 29, the Times ran the headline,  
860.88 -> “NUCLEAR ANXIETY: THE OVERVIEW; PAKISTAN,  ANSWERING INDIA, CARRIES OUT NUCLEAR TESTS.” 
866.4 -> Under the codename Chagai-1, the detonation of  Pakistan’s first atomic bomb happened in the  
871.86 -> mountainous region of the country’s Balochistan  state. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif  
876.78 -> didn’t waste any time in declaring his  country a “nuclear power.” India was  
881.64 -> furious. The US was mightily concerned  but should have known this was coming.
885.42 -> Now Pakistan’s next-door neighbor, its lifelong  enemy, felt what it was like to live next to a  
890.94 -> destroyer of worlds. Pakistan then warned  that its military had just started fitting  
895.08 -> nuclear warheads to missiles that could easily  hit targets in northern and Central India. 
899.4 -> “Today, we have evened the score with India,”  Sharif said in a TV address to millions of people.  
904.2 -> News reports stated that people in Pakistan  started filling up mosques and praying in  
908.82 -> thanks for such a blessing. Huge crowds started  dancing in the streets throughout the country,  
912.9 -> some people shooting guns in the air, while  over in India, millions of folks were thinking  
916.98 -> the same thing: Damn. This aint good. The Western media reported that there  
921.12 -> was “pandemonium in the Indian Parliament,”  and now India started saying it too was  
925.68 -> fitting warheads onto weapons and they could  bloody well hit specific targets in Pakistan. 
930.3 -> The Indian Prime Minister said, “India is ready  to meet any challenge.” The Pakistani government  
934.8 -> said any aggression by India would result in  a “swift and massive retaliation.” It was a  
939.42 -> my-bomb-is-bigger-than-your-bomb stand-off.  Meanwhile, the global community was in shock. 
944.1 -> President Clinton announced that Pakistan  would be hit with the same sanctions which  
948.24 -> the US had slapped against India, which at  least even some things up. Clinton said,  
952.8 -> “I cannot believe that we are about to start the  21st century by having the Indian subcontinent  
957.12 -> repeat the worst mistakes of the 20th century.” A sad fact was that a nuclear arms race was on,  
962.7 -> with India no doubt having the deeper pockets,  but both countries, who’d already spent billions,  
967.26 -> were now aid-less and poorer as large parts of  their populations lived in abject poverty. We  
972.3 -> are talking about extreme poverty here,  not people complaining that they didn’t  
976.2 -> get the latest console or new flatscreen TVs. The good news is India signed a No First Use  
982.32 -> (NFU) policy agreement, but its language around  that has always been unclear. For instance,  
987.24 -> just recently, India’s defense minister  warned after an attack, “What happens in  
991.26 -> the future depends on the circumstances.”  That was like saying, “I’m a strict vegan,  
995.22 -> but let’s see what happens when I run out of  veg, and there are only sausages in the freezer.” 
999.18 -> Such clashes have been common over the years,  and yet, those nuclear bombs still collect  
1003.98 -> dust. It also has to be said that Pakistan  hasn’t signed an NFU, but when those pieces  
1009.08 -> of paper are arguably only good for wiping your  backside with, does it really matter? India has  
1013.22 -> been purposefully ambiguous about its nuclear  policy, probably not revising its statement  
1017.12 -> because what would be the point? Making vague  threats kind of annuls such promises, anyway. 
1021.74 -> No nukes were fired in 1999, either, when India  launched air strikes against Pakistani-backed  
1027.74 -> forces, nor did anything major happen in  2001 when heavily-armed terrorists stormed  
1032.84 -> the Indian Parliament building and killed  nine people. There was subsequently a large  
1037.04 -> deployment of troops on the border. There was more trouble in 2008 and 2009,  
1041.78 -> and a surge in border violence again in  late 2016 that lasted into 2018, which  
1047.3 -> killed dozens of people and displaced thousands  of others on both sides of the Line of Control. 
1051.62 -> Angry demonstrations and anti-India protests  demanding an independent Kashmir have happened  
1056.78 -> numerous times, with hundreds dying once in  clashes when Indian security forces fought  
1061.28 -> with militants and protestors. Indian military  operations have sometimes gotten heavy-handed,  
1066.2 -> but Pakistani militants have killed Indians  time and again. It never seems to end,  
1070.46 -> but the nukes haven’t always been  mentioned. Still, they are there,  
1074.06 -> poised, sitting like obedient wolves at the gates  of two opposing fields full of innocent sheep. 
1079.52 -> The two countries have seldom issued  end-of-world threats to each other,  
1083.3 -> but in 2019, things took a turn for the worse. First, the Pakistani-based terrorist group  
1088.46 -> Jaish-e-Mohammed killed over 40 members  of India’s paramilitary forces in a bomb  
1093.2 -> attack in Indian-controlled Kashmir. This  time, India retaliated with air strikes  
1098.18 -> and bombed what it said was a militant  training camp, and then Pakistan shot down  
1102.68 -> Indian planes and captured a pilot. Now this was real tension. India’s  
1107.42 -> nuclear-powered submarine, the INS Chakra, and  its nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine,  
1112.34 -> the INS Arihant, were both deployed. Pakistan’s  Prime Minister Imran Khan scared the hell out  
1118.1 -> of the global community when he warned that  nuclear war could follow if things escalated.  
1121.94 -> He called the Indian leader a “fascist” and  talked about Indian oppression in Kashmir. 
1125.84 -> He warned, “We are heading for a potential  disaster of proportions that no one here  
1130.58 -> realizes. It’s the only time since the Cuban  crisis that two nuclear-armed countries are  
1135.32 -> coming face to face.” He said if things  did escalate, he would act accordingly. 
1139.34 -> Later that year, something weird happened.  Indian troops in their tens of thousands  
1144.2 -> were deployed in the region. Regional leaders’  homes were raided, and leaders were put under  
1148.58 -> house arrest. Schools were closed, a big  Hindu festival was canceled, and telephone  
1152.72 -> and internet services stopped working. India then announced it had scrapped most  
1156.92 -> of Article 370, calling it a “historical blunder.”  In short, what this means is that Kashmir will no  
1162.56 -> longer have the degree of autonomy it has had from  India up to that point. It will now follow the  
1166.82 -> rules of the rest of India, which will also mean  people outside the state will be able to buy land  
1171.5 -> there. India says this will promote development. But remember, this state has a Muslim majority,  
1176.84 -> so some people have said India’s plan is  to change that by opening it up to outside  
1180.98 -> development. A former Kashmir Chief Minister  said, “This constitutional relationship has  
1186.08 -> been turned into an illegal occupation. So that  is what we are going to be fighting about now.” 
1190.52 -> And sure, Pakistan said what India had done  was “illegal.” It threatened to “exercise all  
1196.28 -> possible options,” which could have  meant anything. But Pakistan didn’t  
1199.7 -> resort to violence. Instead, it curtailed  diplomatic relations and suspended trade. 
1204.26 -> The question is, has this ended any hope of  peace, and are we going to see another round  
1209.06 -> of violence between countries that  sometimes make vague references to  
1212.72 -> annihilating hundreds of millions of people? Researchers say tens of millions would die in  
1217.58 -> the blasts if these two nations let their  bombs go, and up to two billion around  
1221.72 -> the world would die as a result in the long run  after black carbon clouds filled the atmosphere  
1226.46 -> and blocked out the sun. That’s just if India and  Pakistan threw everything they had at each other,  
1231.2 -> not if other nuclear powers got involved. We don’t  think they would, but just India and Pakistan  
1236.96 -> having a nuclear beef would have devastating  consequences far from their two countries. 
1241.22 -> One of the American professors who worked on  this scenario and came up with all the global  
1245.78 -> ramifications and fatality numbers said,  “It is disconcerting to think the actions  
1250.04 -> of Indian and Pakistani generals could  possibly start a war that could impact  
1253.88 -> the entire world more than any previous  world war.” He then said he hoped these  
1258.26 -> two nations would sort their Kashmir problem  out for their sakes and for the world’s sake. 
1262.46 -> India and Pakistan are both big spenders in  the weapons market. They want to feel secure  
1267.44 -> as any nation does, but you could argue  that if they made up and became friends,  
1271.28 -> their populations could experience more  progress in their general quality of life. 
1275.24 -> A US report titled “India and Pakistan: The  Opportunity Cost of Conflict” states that both  
1281.24 -> these nations are suffering heavily because  of years of extravagant military spending in  
1285.56 -> view of high levels of poverty. In fact, you  can find many media stories criticizing the  
1289.94 -> nations for spending too much on weapons, but  when one of them ups the ante, the other has to  
1294.44 -> follow. India also has to think about wolfish  China, another country barking at its borders. 
1299.24 -> In 2022, India was the fourth biggest spender on  defense at around $61 billion, and Pakistan was  
1306.14 -> in 24th place at $11 billion, although in the top  ten for the amount of its GDP spent on defense. 
1311.36 -> Russia has easily been the biggest arms seller  to India of late, but France and the US have  
1317.06 -> also done good business there. Pakistan’s biggest  arms seller has in the last decade been China,  
1322.52 -> followed by Russia. How things have changed!  From 2018 to 2022, India was the biggest arms  
1329.3 -> importer in the entire world, followed by Saudi  Arabia, Qatar, and Australia. Pakistan was in 8th.
1335.12 -> Pakistan has massive levels of poverty, with some  critics stating that it’s a “Poor Nation” with a  
1340.52 -> “Rich Army.” In 2023, an article stated it was  on the “brink of a dreadful economic meltdown”  
1345.44 -> while shovelling money into the military.  India is much richer, but it’s a country  
1349.88 -> with widespread extreme poverty visible just about  everywhere you go. The World Bank wrote in 2022,  
1355.28 -> “Indians Account for 80% of Those Who Became  Poor Globally in 2020 Due to COVID-19.” 
1360.98 -> But still, there is this huge military  spending. Would anything change, though,  
1365.54 -> if both countries could at last say they were  not a threat to each other? We don’t know. 
1370.28 -> If only the Kashmir crisis could end, and the  two nations could shake hands and just have  
1375.02 -> a bloody good game of cricket and end all those  vague threats hanging over people. But somehow,  
1379.7 -> many think the constant conflict isn’t going  away, and the hyper-expensive fear is here  
1383.96 -> to stay for a long time. The good news is  India’s “war of words” with Pakistan is  
1389.06 -> almost certainly just that in regard to  nukes, so two billion people can breathe  
1393.14 -> a sigh of relief. Bitterness is one  thing. Extermination of your people  
1397.22 -> and another country’s people is another. Now you need to watch “India's World War 3  
1402.62 -> Plan.” Or, have a look at “India vs Pakistan  - Who Would Win (Military Comparison 2020).”

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhS6Q27LbUc