Since the inception of the nuclear bomb, military strategists have tried to figure out how to use them best. During the Cold War, this led to two very different doctrines but on both sides of the Iron Curtain the military wasn’t sure of you could actually win Nuclear War.
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» SOURCES Bondarenko, V.M. “The Modern Revolution in Military Affairs and the Combat Readiness of the Armed Forces”, Kommunist Vooruzhennykh Sil - Communist of the Armed Forces, (December 1968)
Brezhnev, L. I. Current Digest of the Soviet Press, Vol. 28, No. 8 (March 1976)
Bundy, McGeorge, Danger and Survival, (New York, NY : Random House, 1988) Carnegie Endowment for Internatinal Peace, “JFK on Nuclear Weapons and Non-Proliferation” (2003) https://carnegieendowment.org/2003/11…
Catadul, Honoré M., Soviet Nuclear Strategy from Stalin to Gorbachev: A Revolution in Soviet Military and Political Thinking, (Berlin : Berlin Verlag Arno Spitz, 1988)
Craig, Campell \u0026 Radchenko, Sergey, The Atomic Bomb and the Origins of the Cold War, (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2008)
Holloway, David, “Entering the Nuclear Arms Race: The Soviet Decision to Build the Atomic Bomb, 1939-45”, Social Studies of Science, Vol. 11, No. 2, Theme Issue: Soviet Science (May, 1981)
Josephson, Paul R., Red Atom: Russia’s Nuclear Power Program from Stalin to Today, (New York, NY : W.H. Freeman and Company, 1999)
Kiser, John W., “How the Arms Race Really Helps Moscow”, Foreign Policy, No. 60 (Autumn, 1985)
Malinovskiy, R. Ya. Current Digest of the Soviet Press, Vol. 14, No. 1 (November 1961)
Pondrom, Lee G. The Soviet Atomic Project: How the Soviet Union Obtained the Atomic Bomb, (Singapore : World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.)
ertais, Bruno, “In Defense of Deterrence: The Relevance, Morality and Cost-Effectiveness of Nuclear Weapons”, Proliferation Papers, No. 39 (2011)
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Content
0 -> When the United States created the atomic bomb
in 1945, they didn’t hesitate to use to help end
5.76 -> the Second World War. But with the Cold War came
new fears. Soviet and American planners had near
11.7 -> apocalyptic power at their fingertips, but it was
difficult to see how they could use it without
16.74 -> destroying the world. Many asked themselves a
fundamental question: “Can you win a nuclear war?”
33.96 -> Atomic weapons development in the
1940s fundamentally shifted the
38.04 -> strategic and military status quo
between the great powers. In 1945,
42.84 -> the US already showed even primitive atomic
weapons’ destructive potential. In 1949,
48.36 -> the Soviet Union tested their own bomb
to rebalance a growing technological
52.92 -> and military gulf between the two superpowers.
After the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki,
58.32 -> US President Harry Truman was slow to adopt
a formal policy. For him the bombs were not
64.14 -> a weapon of war, but purely a political tool to
be only used in the most extreme circumstances.
69.9 -> As he reminded his generals, the president
had to approve the use of atomic weapons:
76.92 -> “...you have to understand that this isn’t
a military weapon… it is used to wipe out
81.24 -> women and children and unarmed people,
and not for military uses.” (Bundy 200)
87.84 -> Despite some reservations, the
US continued to build up its
91.56 -> stockpiles and aircraft capable of
delivering them. Truman reassured
95.4 -> his military staff he would not hesitate
to use the bomb again if he needed to.
101.28 -> Soviet strategy also didn’t change much
after developing their bomb. In 1946,
106.2 -> Stalin even suggested the bomb only inspired
fear in those who lacked a strong will:
113.64 -> “I do not believe the atomic bomb to be so serious
a force as certain politicians are inclined to
119.52 -> consider it. Atomic bombs are intended to
frighten the weak-nerved, but they cannot
124.5 -> decide the outcome of a war, since they are by
no means adequate for this purpose.” (Catudal 40)
130.86 -> Following the US atomic bombings in 1945, Stalin
deliberately pursued an aggressive, obstinate
136.68 -> policy to show the US he was not intimidated. Once
the Soviet Union got its own bomb in 1949, Stalin
144.24 -> simply added them to the Red Army’s inventory. The
principles of war he developed during WW2 – the
150.3 -> so-called “five permanently operating factors”
remained intact. These focused on the morale,
156.12 -> quantity, quality, and support for conven tional
land forces, and the stability of the rear.
162.84 -> Then in 1953, things suddenly changed. In the
US, President Dwight Eisenhower replaced Truman,
169.5 -> and in the Soviet Union, Stalin died and
Nikita Khrushchev, after a power struggle,
174.54 -> became first secretary. With these leadership
changes came technological developments.
180.3 -> On November 1st, 1952, the US detonated the first
hydrogen thermonuclear weapon. Within H-bombs,
187.62 -> a fission reaction – like in an atomic bomb –
is used to trigger the fusion of hydrogen atoms,
193.5 -> releasing even more energy in an
explosion. H-bombs can be thousands
198.36 -> of times more powerful than atomic
weapons, creating so-called “city
202.56 -> killers”. Their potential was not lost
on UK Prime Minister Winston Churchill:
209.82 -> “There is an immense gulf between the atomic and
the hydrogen bomb. The atomic bomb, with all its
216.3 -> terrors, did not carry us outside the scope of
human control or manageable events in thought
221.82 -> or action, in peace or war. But [with the hydrogen
bomb], the entire foundation of human affairs was
228.78 -> revolutionized, and mankind placed in a situation
both measurable and laden with doom.” (Bundy 198)
237.06 -> Less than a year after the
US test, the Soviets tested
240.9 -> their own hydrogen bomb – although it
was still not in a deliverable state.
245.04 -> Not only were hydrogen bombs more powerful
they were also much smaller than atomic
249.72 -> bombs, opening up new possible
delivery methods and strategies.
259.68 -> Both Khrushchev and Eisenhower were under
similar pressures. Both wanted to reduce military
265.2 -> spending, and nuclear weapons appeared to give
them a way to do this. Compared to maintaining
270.3 -> huge conventional forces, strategic nuclear
weapons could achieve the same military power more
276.24 -> cheaply. Eisenhower also felt the need to offset
the Soviet Union’s huge conventional advantage:
284.46 -> “…we knew that the Soviets maintained
something in the neighborhood of 175
288.84 -> divisions active in Europe at all times.
The United States had twenty divisions,
293.64 -> only five of which were in Europe. Therefore,
in the view of the disparity in the strengths
298.98 -> of the opposing ground forces, it seemed
clear that only by the imposition of our
303.6 -> nuclear weapons could we promptly stop a major
Communist aggression in that area.” (Bundy 248)
310.26 -> But Eisenhower also inherited some of Truman’s
opinions on nuclear weapons. To him, victory
316.2 -> and defeat in nuclear war were essentially
the same, as he told a group of advisors:
322.14 -> “the only greater possible
tragedy greater than winning
325.08 -> a [nuclear] war would be losing it.” (Bundy 253)
328.86 -> So in October 1953, Eisenhower developed a
New Look policy. He publicly stated he was
335.22 -> ready to use nuclear weapons just as any
other munitions, but his true intention
339.9 -> was deterrence. The United States would use
its nuclear weapons as part of a doctrine of
345.12 -> massive retaliation, not as a first strike.
If the Soviets attacked the US or its Allies,
350.88 -> an American nuclear response would make any
Soviet useless. The US also developed more
357.6 -> diverse delivery systems, like submarines
and hardened silos. These ensured that even
362.7 -> if the Soviets struck first, the Americans
could respond with “assured destruction.”
368.52 -> Eisenhower gambled in the belief that Soviet
leaders, despite their ideological differences,
373.62 -> were still rational men and did
not want to provoke Armageddon.
378.78 -> While the US relied on a potential nuclear
response to prevent war, the Soviet Union took
384.18 -> a different approach. Some experts suggest the
English meaning of “deterrence” does not have an
389.76 -> exact Russian language equivalent, and that Soviet
nuclear strategy was rooted in the Red Army’s
395.64 -> offensive tradition. So the Soviets developed
plans to not only fight a nuclear war but win one.
402.78 -> For the USSR, war was a
social and political contest,
407.4 -> as well as a military one. That meant Soviet
military science was subordinate to political
413.1 -> doctrine and had to operate under the same
Marxist-Leninist principles. These state,
418.08 -> among other things, that war can be a vehicle
for great social change and any contest between
423.54 -> capitalist and socialist nations will
always result in a socialist victory.
428.34 -> With these principles in mind, an un-winnable war
as envisioned by Eisenhower simply cannot exist.
435.06 -> However, Soviet political doctrine
also stated that only imperialist,
440.22 -> capitalist states start wars...but at
the same time it was clear the side
445.2 -> who attacked first in a nuclear
war would have a huge advantage.
448.74 -> To escape this dilemma, the Soviets
concentrated on pre-emptive strikes.
453.36 -> Only when they were sure a US attack was
imminent would they launch their nuclear
458.64 -> weapons. The objective was to eliminate
enemy military forces – including nuclear
463.86 -> weapons - disorganise their rear areas and
suppress the will to resist. As destroying
469.5 -> 100 percent of the enemy’s strategic nuclear
weapons was unlikely, Soviet authorities relied
474.66 -> on strong civil defence measures to minimize
damage from an American retaliatory strike.
480.36 -> This approach required permanent strategic
nuclear forces that were always on high alert.
485.4 -> In 1961, Minister of Defence Marshal
Rodion Malinovsky made this clear:
492.72 -> “A realistic assessment of the picture would
lead one to believe that what the imperialists
497.58 -> are preparing is a surprise nuclear attack on
the USSR and the socialist countries. Hence
503.58 -> Soviet military doctrine regards it as the most
important, the pre-eminent, the first-priority
509.64 -> task of the armed forces to be in a state of
constant readiness for effectively repulsing
515.22 -> a surprise attack by the enemy and thwarting his
criminal designs.” (R. Ya. Malinovskiy, p. 20)
520.62 -> The Soviet Union’s new Strategic Rocket
Forces would be responsible for thisc,
524.88 -> decisive strike. Initially, strategic bombers like
the Tu-20 Bear and M-4 Bison were the primary arm,
532.02 -> but the US was simply too far away to rely on slow
bombers. Happily for the Soviets, throughout the
538.44 -> 1950s, they’d made huge advances in rocketry,
as illustrated by Sputnik’s launch in 1957.
544.92 -> That same year, the Soviet Union developed their
first intercontinental ballistic missile, or ICBM.
557.16 -> Competition between the US and USSR, and
especially concerns about a potential
562.14 -> “missile gap”, led both sides' to build
more and more nuclear weapons. By 1960,
567.96 -> the US had a clear superiority with
571.8 -> 18,000 bombs to the Soviet Union’s 1,600.
It is important to note – as some US analysts
577.98 -> did – that saying nuclear victory is possible
is not the same as saying it’s desirable. Any
585.12 -> Soviet nuclear victory would be pyrrhic and
involve devastation beyond comprehension. Soviet
591.18 -> doctrine must be seen from the perspective
of their experience in the Second World War,
595.14 -> where poor preparation resulted in horrendous
losses when Germany attacked. Nuclear weapon
601.5 -> expert Tariq Rauf suggested the Soviet approach
acted as a different kind of deterrent:
608.28 -> “The Soviets do not need a direct [language
equivalent] of [deterrence] to practice it.
612.78 -> The leaders of the Soviet Union realize that
nuclear war would be an unprecedented disaster
618.18 -> for socialism. The Soviets, however,
have always believed that the best way
622.8 -> to deter war is to prepare to wage it,
in case deterrence fails.” (Rauf 85)
628.44 -> Regardless of real Soviet intentions, the
pre-emptive strike strategy was extremely